Vol. II — Issue 1
Federal Reserve Persona Engine — 1970–Present — Eight Chairs — April 2026 • 464 Beige Books • Live News
📄 PDF Corpus Loader
ACTIVE
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Paste or load the extracted text from your FOMC PDFs to ground each persona
in actual primary source documents — transcripts, minutes, and speeches.
The preprocessor script converts your raw files to chair-labeled JSON automatically.
Step 1 — Run the corpus scrapers to download PDFs:
Step 2 — Run the preprocessor to map docs → chairs:
→ Outputs
Step 3 — Load the JSON below, or paste text per-chair manually.
python fomc_corpus_builder.py (historical, 1976–2015)python fomc_calendars_scraper.py (recent, 2015–present)
Step 2 — Run the preprocessor to map docs → chairs:
python fomc_corpus_prep.py --corpus-dir fomc_corpus/texts --merge-dirs fomc_calendars/texts→ Outputs
fomc_corpus_by_chair.json
Step 3 — Load the JSON below, or paste text per-chair manually.
Press Conference Query
Reporter's question
Current Chair's actual answer
Select personas → convene the panel
Current Chair (Powell) — Actual Response
Historical Consensus Signal
Computing…
Hawkish (tighten)Dovish (ease)
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⬡ Insight Tools
Fed Funds Futures · Semantic Drift Detection — click to expand
Fed Funds Futures
CME FedWatch
Loading market probabilities…
Source: CME FedWatch implied probabilities
Semantic Drift · Code Word Detection
Scanning corpus…
Analyzing language patterns…
Convene the panel to hear from history's Fed Chairs.
When History Rhymes
Historical analogs — Lessons from the archive — 1936–present